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Key Indicators
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31 key official events ahead
July 2026
Statistics
Employment Situation — June 2026 data (jobs report)

BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for June 2026, 8:30am ET. Released a day early ahead of the July 4 holiday.

Summit
NATO Summit — Ankara, Türkiye

36th NATO summit, July 7–8 at the Beştepe presidential complex in Ankara; the US president attends. Defence-spending targets, Ukraine support and burden-sharing dominate.

Statistics
CPI release — June 2026 data

BLS Consumer Price Index for June 2026, 8:30am ET. Headline and core inflation print ahead of the late-July Fed meeting.

Central Bank
FOMC interest-rate decision (July 28–29 meeting)

FOMC policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day, followed by a 2:30pm Chair press conference. No new economic projections at this meeting.

Statistics
GDP — Q2 2026 advance estimate (BEA)

First (advance) estimate of second-quarter 2026 real GDP growth from the BEA, 8:30am ET.

August 2026
Statistics
Employment Situation — July 2026 data (jobs report)

BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for July 2026, 8:30am ET.

Statistics
CPI release — July 2026 data

BLS Consumer Price Index for July 2026, 8:30am ET.

September 2026
Statistics
Employment Situation — August 2026 data (jobs report)

BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for August 2026, 8:30am ET, ahead of the mid-September Fed meeting.

Statistics
CPI release — August 2026 data

BLS Consumer Price Index for August 2026, 8:30am ET — last CPI print before the September Fed decision.

Central Bank
FOMC interest-rate decision (September 15–16 meeting)

FOMC policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day, with an updated Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot) and a 2:30pm Chair press conference.

Statistics
GDP — Q2 2026 third estimate (BEA)

Third (final) estimate of Q2 2026 GDP plus corporate profits and state-level data, 8:30am ET.

October 2026
Statistics
Employment Situation — September 2026 data (jobs report)

BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for September 2026, 8:30am ET.

Statistics
CPI release — September 2026 data

BLS Consumer Price Index for September 2026, 8:30am ET.

Central Bank
FOMC interest-rate decision (October 27–28 meeting)

FOMC policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day, followed by a 2:30pm Chair press conference. No new economic projections at this meeting.

Statistics
GDP — Q3 2026 advance estimate (BEA)

First (advance) estimate of third-quarter 2026 real GDP growth from the BEA, 8:30am ET.

November 2026
Election
US midterm elections — House, one-third of Senate, governorships

All 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats are contested (including Florida and Ohio special elections), alongside 36 governorships. Determines control of the 120th Congress.

Statistics
Employment Situation — October 2026 data (jobs report)

BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for October 2026, 8:30am ET.

Statistics
CPI release — October 2026 data

BLS Consumer Price Index for October 2026, 8:30am ET.

Statistics
GDP — Q3 2026 second estimate (BEA)

Second estimate of Q3 2026 GDP plus corporate profits, 8:30am ET.

December 2026
Statistics
Employment Situation — November 2026 data (jobs report)

BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for November 2026, 8:30am ET, ahead of the December Fed meeting.

Central Bank
FOMC interest-rate decision (December 8–9 meeting)

Final FOMC meeting of 2026; policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second day, with an updated Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot) and a 2:30pm Chair press conference.

Summit
G20 Leaders' Summit — Miami (Doral), United States

United States hosts the G20 leaders' summit December 14–15 at Trump National Doral, Miami, capping the US G20 presidency year.

Statistics
CPI release — November 2026 data

BLS Consumer Price Index for November 2026, 8:30am ET. Released later than the usual mid-month slot under the revised 2026 schedule.

Statistics
GDP — Q3 2026 third estimate (BEA)

Third (final) estimate of Q3 2026 GDP plus corporate profits and state-level data, 8:30am ET.

January 2027
Statistics
Employment Situation — December 2026 data (jobs report)

BLS nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate for December 2026, with annual benchmark revisions. (Provisional — exact 2027 monthly date not yet published by BLS.)

Statistics
CPI release — December 2026 data

BLS Consumer Price Index for December 2026, completing the 2026 inflation picture. (Provisional — exact 2027 monthly date not yet published by BLS.)

Central Bank
FOMC interest-rate decision (January 26–27 2027 meeting)

First FOMC decision of 2027 (tentative schedule announced Sept 2025); policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day with a 2:30pm Chair press conference.

Statistics
GDP — Q4 2026 advance estimate (BEA)

First (advance) estimate of fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 GDP. (Provisional — exact 2027 date not yet published by BEA; date estimated from the usual late-January cadence.)

March 2027
Central Bank
FOMC interest-rate decision (March 16–17 2027 meeting)

2027 FOMC decision (tentative schedule); statement at 2:00pm ET on the second day with an updated Summary of Economic Projections and a 2:30pm Chair press conference.

April 2027
Central Bank
FOMC interest-rate decision (April 27–28 2027 meeting)

2027 FOMC decision (tentative schedule); policy statement at 2:00pm ET on the second meeting day with a 2:30pm Chair press conference.

June 2027
Central Bank
FOMC interest-rate decision (June 8–9 2027 meeting)

2027 FOMC decision (tentative schedule); statement at 2:00pm ET on the second day with an updated Summary of Economic Projections and a 2:30pm Chair press conference.

United States

Recent events

24
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us48

US Supreme Court blocks Trump's firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook, upholds Fed independence

The US Supreme Court ruled 5-4 to block President Donald Trump's attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, ruling that the administration failed to provide adequate procedural protections. The decision affirms the Federal Reserve's independence by requiring cause for removal of its governors. In a separate 6-3 ruling, the court expanded presidential power to fire heads of other independent agencies like the FTC, overturning a 1935 precedent. The Cook case will return to lower courts where the administration must prove its mortgage fraud allegations.

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The US Supreme Court ruled 5-4 to block President Donald Trump's attempt to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, ruling that the administration failed to provide adequate procedural protections. The decision affirms the Federal Reserve's independence by requiring cause for removal of its governors. In a separate 6-3 ruling, the court expanded presidential power to fire heads of other independent agencies like the FTC, overturning a 1935 precedent. The Cook case will return to lower courts where the administration must prove its mortgage fraud allegations.

us46

Trump warns fuel retailers to lower gasoline prices as oil drops to $68

US President Donald Trump warned fuel retailers to immediately lower gasoline prices, citing that oil prices have dropped to $68 per barrel after the Strait of Hormuz closure earlier this year. He threatened 'big problems' if retailers do not comply, accusing them of illegal gauging. The warning comes amid declining oil prices following a US-Iran memorandum of understanding.

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US President Donald Trump warned fuel retailers to immediately lower gasoline prices, citing that oil prices have dropped to $68 per barrel after the Strait of Hormuz closure earlier this year. He threatened 'big problems' if retailers do not comply, accusing them of illegal gauging. The warning comes amid declining oil prices following a US-Iran memorandum of understanding.

us44

Strait of Hormuz shipping continues with 108 transits over weekend despite security incidents

Vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz continued over the weekend of June 26–28, 2026, despite security concerns and attacks on two ships. MarineTraffic recorded 108 verified transits over three days, with daily counts of 48 on June 26, 38 on June 27, and 22 on June 28. This represents a decline from earlier in the week, when 54 transits were recorded on June 25 and 70 on June 24—the highest daily total since the US-Israel war on Iran began. While traffic remains down from pre-conflict averages of 130–140 daily, the data indicates the waterway remains open amid the ongoing conflict.

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Vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz continued over the weekend of June 26–28, 2026, despite security concerns and attacks on two ships. MarineTraffic recorded 108 verified transits over three days, with daily counts of 48 on June 26, 38 on June 27, and 22 on June 28. This represents a decline from earlier in the week, when 54 transits were recorded on June 25 and 70 on June 24—the highest daily total since the US-Israel war on Iran began. While traffic remains down from pre-conflict averages of 130–140 daily, the data indicates the waterway remains open amid the ongoing conflict.

us43

Pentagon unveils Agent Network, an agentic-AI tool for rapid targeting options

The Pentagon announced a new agentic-AI tool, Agent Network, that continuously scans intelligence and operational systems to provide U.S. military commanders with targeting options within seconds. Developed with contractors Lumbra and Palantir, the tool is part of a broader Pentagon AI strategy. While officials emphasize that commanders remain in charge of strike decisions, experts warn of risks including computational limitations of current LLMs and potential for autonomous agents to cause unintended damage, citing a private-sector incident where an agent wiped a live production database.

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The Pentagon announced a new agentic-AI tool, Agent Network, that continuously scans intelligence and operational systems to provide U.S. military commanders with targeting options within seconds. Developed with contractors Lumbra and Palantir, the tool is part of a broader Pentagon AI strategy. While officials emphasize that commanders remain in charge of strike decisions, experts warn of risks including computational limitations of current LLMs and potential for autonomous agents to cause unintended damage, citing a private-sector incident where an agent wiped a live production database.

us43

Israel and Lebanon reach US-brokered peace agreement; Hezbollah rejects it

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu announced a US-brokered trilateral framework agreement with Lebanon aimed at achieving peace and disarming Hezbollah, calling it a historic blow to Iran and Hezbollah. Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem rejected the agreement as humiliating and void. Israeli Defense Minister Katz insisted troops would remain in southern Lebanon as long as Hezbollah is armed, while Lebanese President Aoun viewed it as a first step toward sovereignty. The agreement includes a trial plan for Lebanese army deployment in two areas and a process to disarm Hezbollah.

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Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu announced a US-brokered trilateral framework agreement with Lebanon aimed at achieving peace and disarming Hezbollah, calling it a historic blow to Iran and Hezbollah. Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem rejected the agreement as humiliating and void. Israeli Defense Minister Katz insisted troops would remain in southern Lebanon as long as Hezbollah is armed, while Lebanese President Aoun viewed it as a first step toward sovereignty. The agreement includes a trial plan for Lebanese army deployment in two areas and a process to disarm Hezbollah.

us40

US nuclear negotiating team with Iran departs for Qatar

US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff informed lawmakers that the technical team for nuclear negotiations with Iran has left Switzerland for Qatar. Witkoff and Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that Iran has not received any funds under the memorandum of understanding and stressed the need to prevent Iran from retaining highly enriched uranium.

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US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff informed lawmakers that the technical team for nuclear negotiations with Iran has left Switzerland for Qatar. Witkoff and Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that Iran has not received any funds under the memorandum of understanding and stressed the need to prevent Iran from retaining highly enriched uranium.

us38

Farmers worldwide brace for El Niño amid trade and energy pressures

Background: A severe El Niño event was forecast to threaten global crop production, with hot and dry weather disrupting planting across Asia and raising food supply concerns. Meteorologists have now declared the onset of El Niño, with forecasts of a particularly strong event. Aid agencies, including the FAO and WFP, have issued a joint appeal for over $200 million to protect 8.8 million people in high-risk countries, warning of heightened food insecurity in southern Africa, Central America, India, and Australia. The expected peak overlaps the main maize season in southern Africa. Global inventories of rice, wheat, corn, and soybeans are high, offering some relief at the market level, but regional pain is expected. The U.S. may see positive yield impacts, while vulnerable regions face heightened food insecurity amid reduced humanitarian aid funding. Trade between countries is highlighted as the most important tool for mitigating production deficits.

Show summary

Background: A severe El Niño event was forecast to threaten global crop production, with hot and dry weather disrupting planting across Asia and raising food supply concerns. Meteorologists have now declared the onset of El Niño, with forecasts of a particularly strong event. Aid agencies, including the FAO and WFP, have issued a joint appeal for over $200 million to protect 8.8 million people in high-risk countries, warning of heightened food insecurity in southern Africa, Central America, India, and Australia. The expected peak overlaps the main maize season in southern Africa. Global inventories of rice, wheat, corn, and soybeans are high, offering some relief at the market level, but regional pain is expected. The U.S. may see positive yield impacts, while vulnerable regions face heightened food insecurity amid reduced humanitarian aid funding. Trade between countries is highlighted as the most important tool for mitigating production deficits.

us35

Iran says conditions for final nuclear agreement with US not yet met

Iran had previously declared its nuclear enrichment rights non-negotiable and confirmed US talks via Pakistan. Now, foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei stated that negotiations for a final agreement with the United States, including on the nuclear program, have not yet begun. He cited Article 13 of the memorandum of understanding, which makes final talks conditional on the implementation of other provisions, highlighting ongoing procedural hurdles.

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Iran had previously declared its nuclear enrichment rights non-negotiable and confirmed US talks via Pakistan. Now, foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei stated that negotiations for a final agreement with the United States, including on the nuclear program, have not yet begun. He cited Article 13 of the memorandum of understanding, which makes final talks conditional on the implementation of other provisions, highlighting ongoing procedural hurdles.