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Key Indicators
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23 key official events ahead
July 2026
Summit
NATO Summit — Ankara

36th NATO summit, hosted by Turkiye at the Bestepe Presidential Complex in Ankara on 7-8 July 2026. Ukraine support, defence spending and the eastern flank are expected to feature; Ukraine typically attends as a partner.

Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — June 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering June 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

Parliament
Verkhovna Rada vote — martial law and mobilization extension

Parliament must extend martial law and general mobilization before the current 90-day period expires on 2 August 2026; the vote is taken in the days beforehand. (Provisional date within the late-July window.)

Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (July)

Scheduled NBU Board monetary policy meeting; decision and press briefing at 14:00 Kyiv time. A quarterly 'forecast' meeting accompanied by a new Inflation Report. Key rate currently 15%.

August 2026
Statistics
NBU Inflation Report (Q3) publication

Quarterly macroeconomic forecast and Inflation Report accompanying the July key-rate decision, published per the official monetary-policy publications schedule.

Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — July 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering July 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

September 2026
Parliament
Verkhovna Rada opens autumn session (Ninth convocation)

Parliament's autumn session opens on the first Tuesday of September, as fixed by Article 83 of the Constitution. First plenary sittings set the autumn legislative agenda (budget 2027, mobilization, EU-accession laws).

Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — August 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering August 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

Other
IMF Executive Board — second review of EFF arrangement

Second review of the 48-month US$8.1bn EFF approved 26 Feb 2026, expected on or after 1 September 2026; completion would release a further 2026 tranche (the programme envisages about US$3.8bn across 2026). (Provisional — exact Board date depends on the staff mission and benchmarks.)

Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (September)

Scheduled NBU Board monetary policy meeting; decision and press briefing at 14:00 Kyiv time. An interim 'risk-assessment' meeting (no new full forecast).

October 2026
Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — September 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering September 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

Parliament
Verkhovna Rada vote — martial law and mobilization extension

Next 90-day extension of martial law and general mobilization, voted before the period that began 2 August 2026 lapses (~late October / early November). (Provisional date within the window.)

Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (October)

Scheduled NBU Board monetary policy meeting; decision and press briefing at 14:00 Kyiv time. A quarterly 'forecast' meeting accompanied by a new Inflation Report.

November 2026
Statistics
NBU Inflation Report (Q4) publication

Quarterly macroeconomic forecast and Inflation Report accompanying the October key-rate decision, published per the official monetary-policy publications schedule.

Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — October 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering October 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

December 2026
Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — November 2026 inflation

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering November 2026 (~9th-10th of the month). Provisional exact day.

Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (December)

Final scheduled NBU Board monetary policy meeting of 2026; decision and press briefing at 14:00 Kyiv time. An interim 'risk-assessment' meeting closing out the year.

January 2027
Statistics
Derzhstat CPI release — December 2026 inflation (full-year)

Monthly Consumer Price Index release covering December 2026, giving full-year 2026 inflation (~9th-11th of January). Provisional exact day.

Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (January) — provisional

First NBU Board monetary policy meeting of 2027, a quarterly forecast meeting with a new Inflation Report. (Provisional — the NBU had not yet published its 2027 meeting calendar; date estimated from the usual late-January Thursday slot.)

February 2027
Parliament
Verkhovna Rada opens spring session (Ninth convocation)

Parliament's spring session opens on the first Tuesday of February per Article 83 of the Constitution. (Provisional — exact opening sitting depends on the published 2027 sessional calendar.)

March 2027
Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (March) — provisional

Interim 'risk-assessment' NBU Board monetary policy meeting. (Provisional — 2027 calendar not yet published; date estimated from the typical mid-March Thursday slot.)

April 2027
Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (April) — provisional

Quarterly forecast NBU Board meeting with a new Inflation Report; markets watch for the start of the easing cycle (the NBU signalled no cuts before Q2 2027). (Provisional — 2027 calendar not yet published; date estimated from the typical late-April Thursday slot.)

June 2027
Central Bank
NBU key policy rate decision (June) — provisional

Interim 'risk-assessment' NBU Board monetary policy meeting. (Provisional — 2027 calendar not yet published; date estimated from the typical mid-June Thursday slot.)

Ukraine

Recent events

24
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ua48

Zelenskyy Vows to Respond to Russian Strikes to Weaken Russia's Ability to Prolong War

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, in his evening address on June 29, condemned recent Russian strikes on civilian targets in Zaporizhzhia, Dnipro, Kherson, Kharkiv, Donetsk, and Sumy oblasts, calling the war a "terrorist war" against Ukraine. He vowed that Ukraine will continue responding to Russian attacks in ways that weaken Russia's ability to prolong the conflict, citing a petrol shortage in Russia as a consequence of Ukraine's long-range strikes. Zelenskyy thanked Ukrainian troops holding the line, especially in Donetsk Oblast, and noted that Russia has postponed its deadline for capturing Donetsk Oblast 15 times. He announced intensive international engagement in the coming weeks and expressed hope for positive decisions from partners in June and July.

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President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, in his evening address on June 29, condemned recent Russian strikes on civilian targets in Zaporizhzhia, Dnipro, Kherson, Kharkiv, Donetsk, and Sumy oblasts, calling the war a "terrorist war" against Ukraine. He vowed that Ukraine will continue responding to Russian attacks in ways that weaken Russia's ability to prolong the conflict, citing a petrol shortage in Russia as a consequence of Ukraine's long-range strikes. Zelenskyy thanked Ukrainian troops holding the line, especially in Donetsk Oblast, and noted that Russia has postponed its deadline for capturing Donetsk Oblast 15 times. He announced intensive international engagement in the coming weeks and expressed hope for positive decisions from partners in June and July.

ua48

Ukraine strikes Russian weapons plant in Volgograd and Moscow fuel hub in deep strike campaign

Background: Ukraine has been conducting deep strikes into Russian territory, including a mass drone attack on Moscow in May 2026 that hit multiple targets and demonstrated capability to overwhelm air defenses. New development: On June 27, 2026, Ukraine struck the Titan-Barrikady weapons plant in Volgograd, which produces artillery systems and components for Iskander-M missile launchers, and an oil pumping station near Moscow in Vtorovo, Vladimir region. The attacks caused a fire at the plant and wounded at least 10 people. The oil pumping station, owned by Transneft, was hit for the second time in a month. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy confirmed the strikes, stating they are part of a strategy to bring the war to Russia and pressure Putin into peace negotiations.

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Background: Ukraine has been conducting deep strikes into Russian territory, including a mass drone attack on Moscow in May 2026 that hit multiple targets and demonstrated capability to overwhelm air defenses. New development: On June 27, 2026, Ukraine struck the Titan-Barrikady weapons plant in Volgograd, which produces artillery systems and components for Iskander-M missile launchers, and an oil pumping station near Moscow in Vtorovo, Vladimir region. The attacks caused a fire at the plant and wounded at least 10 people. The oil pumping station, owned by Transneft, was hit for the second time in a month. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy confirmed the strikes, stating they are part of a strategy to bring the war to Russia and pressure Putin into peace negotiations.

ua45

Russian strike on Dnipro kills six, injures 29 on June 29

On June 29, Russian forces struck Dnipro, killing six civilians and injuring 29. The attack damaged a business, a college, residential houses, and vehicles. Additional injuries were reported in the Nikopol district and Piatykhatky hromada, where a 72-year-old man and a 41-year-old woman were injured in an overnight attack. This attack continues the pattern of Russian targeting of Ukrainian urban centers.

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On June 29, Russian forces struck Dnipro, killing six civilians and injuring 29. The attack damaged a business, a college, residential houses, and vehicles. Additional injuries were reported in the Nikopol district and Piatykhatky hromada, where a 72-year-old man and a 41-year-old woman were injured in an overnight attack. This attack continues the pattern of Russian targeting of Ukrainian urban centers.

ua44

Russian drone strikes on civilian buses in Zaporizhzhia kill three, injure 13

On June 29, Russian forces conducted two drone attacks on civilian buses in Zaporizhzhia. In the first attack, a minibus was struck, killing three people and injuring six, including a child. Later that evening, a drone exploded near a passenger bus, injuring seven people, including two girls aged 14 and 16. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration building was also struck by a drone, causing a fire that was contained with no injuries. The attacks were reported by Ivan Fedorov, Head of Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration, underscoring Russia's continued targeting of civilian transport and government infrastructure in the region.

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On June 29, Russian forces conducted two drone attacks on civilian buses in Zaporizhzhia. In the first attack, a minibus was struck, killing three people and injuring six, including a child. Later that evening, a drone exploded near a passenger bus, injuring seven people, including two girls aged 14 and 16. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration building was also struck by a drone, causing a fire that was contained with no injuries. The attacks were reported by Ivan Fedorov, Head of Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration, underscoring Russia's continued targeting of civilian transport and government infrastructure in the region.

ua43

Poland-Ukraine UPA Dispute Intensifies, Threatens Alliance Against Russia

Background: Polish President Karol Nawrocki revoked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's Order of the White Eagle after Zelenskyy named a military unit after the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA), which Poland holds responsible for WWII massacres of ethnic Poles. Zelenskyy returned the award, and multiple Ukrainian officials renounced Polish honors. The dispute is now being weaponized in Polish domestic politics ahead of the 2027 election, with right-wing parties using anti-Ukrainian sentiment to gain ground. Zelenskyy announced a national pantheon of Ukrainian heroes, implicitly rejecting Polish demands. A CBOS poll shows 51.9% of Poles have a worsened view of Ukraine. Polish far-right leaders call for halting military aid and blocking Ukraine's EU path. The crisis threatens the crucial alliance against Russia. Today's development: The dispute has further escalated as Nawrocki uses the issue to consolidate right-wing support ahead of the 2027 election. Zelenskyy retaliated by returning the medal and skipping a major Ukraine recovery conference in Gdańsk. Polish right-wing parties, including the Confederation and Confederation of the Polish Crown, are calling for an end to military aid to Ukraine and blocking its EU path unless Kyiv acknowledges the UPA massacres. Kyrylo Budanov warned the fight is a 'serious mistake' that could escalate further.

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Background: Polish President Karol Nawrocki revoked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's Order of the White Eagle after Zelenskyy named a military unit after the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA), which Poland holds responsible for WWII massacres of ethnic Poles. Zelenskyy returned the award, and multiple Ukrainian officials renounced Polish honors. The dispute is now being weaponized in Polish domestic politics ahead of the 2027 election, with right-wing parties using anti-Ukrainian sentiment to gain ground. Zelenskyy announced a national pantheon of Ukrainian heroes, implicitly rejecting Polish demands. A CBOS poll shows 51.9% of Poles have a worsened view of Ukraine. Polish far-right leaders call for halting military aid and blocking Ukraine's EU path. The crisis threatens the crucial alliance against Russia. Today's development: The dispute has further escalated as Nawrocki uses the issue to consolidate right-wing support ahead of the 2027 election. Zelenskyy retaliated by returning the medal and skipping a major Ukraine recovery conference in Gdańsk. Polish right-wing parties, including the Confederation and Confederation of the Polish Crown, are calling for an end to military aid to Ukraine and blocking its EU path unless Kyiv acknowledges the UPA massacres. Kyrylo Budanov warned the fight is a 'serious mistake' that could escalate further.

ua43

Russian guided bomb strike kills woman, injures 10 in Kharkiv's Kholodnohirskyi district

Background: Russian forces struck Kharkiv's Kholodnohirskyi district with guided aerial bombs early Saturday, hitting a two-story apartment building, injuring at least five people and leaving others feared trapped under rubble. On 29 June, a new Russian guided bomb attack on the same district killed a 23-year-old woman and injured 10 people, damaging a tram, power network, over 15 cars, businesses, and residential buildings. A second bomb failed to detonate, and bomb disposal experts were deployed.

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Background: Russian forces struck Kharkiv's Kholodnohirskyi district with guided aerial bombs early Saturday, hitting a two-story apartment building, injuring at least five people and leaving others feared trapped under rubble. On 29 June, a new Russian guided bomb attack on the same district killed a 23-year-old woman and injured 10 people, damaging a tram, power network, over 15 cars, businesses, and residential buildings. A second bomb failed to detonate, and bomb disposal experts were deployed.

ua41

Russian drone attack injures mother and three children in Kherson

On June 29, 2026, at approximately 11:00 local time, Russian forces used a drone to attack a mother and her three children playing in a garden in central Kherson. The 34-year-old woman, a 13-year-old boy, and two girls aged 6 and 3 suffered blast injuries and stress and were hospitalized. The attack was reported by Oleksandr Prokudin, Head of Kherson Oblast Military Administration. This attack is part of the ongoing pattern of Russian drone strikes targeting civilians in the Kherson region.

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On June 29, 2026, at approximately 11:00 local time, Russian forces used a drone to attack a mother and her three children playing in a garden in central Kherson. The 34-year-old woman, a 13-year-old boy, and two girls aged 6 and 3 suffered blast injuries and stress and were hospitalized. The attack was reported by Oleksandr Prokudin, Head of Kherson Oblast Military Administration. This attack is part of the ongoing pattern of Russian drone strikes targeting civilians in the Kherson region.

ua39

Ukraine strikes Russian bridges, logistics depot, UAV control stations, and EW command post

Ukraine's General Staff reported that on June 28-29, 2026, defense forces struck a road bridge near Novoazovsk (Donetsk), two railway bridges in Luhansk Oblast, a logistics depot near Novosvitlivka (Luhansk), three Russian UAV ground control stations near Huliaipole (Zaporizhzhia), Tyotkino (Kursk), and Bakhmut (Donetsk), and a command post of a Russian electronic warfare unit near Velyka Novosilka (Donetsk). These strikes targeted Russian military logistics and command infrastructure in occupied Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Russia's Kursk Oblast.

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Ukraine's General Staff reported that on June 28-29, 2026, defense forces struck a road bridge near Novoazovsk (Donetsk), two railway bridges in Luhansk Oblast, a logistics depot near Novosvitlivka (Luhansk), three Russian UAV ground control stations near Huliaipole (Zaporizhzhia), Tyotkino (Kursk), and Bakhmut (Donetsk), and a command post of a Russian electronic warfare unit near Velyka Novosilka (Donetsk). These strikes targeted Russian military logistics and command infrastructure in occupied Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Russia's Kursk Oblast.